Regional Conflict
&
Stability

Home | Research Structure | Regional Conflict & Stability

Mission and Core Questions

This research group focuses on understanding the drivers, trajectories, and escalation dynamics of regional conflicts and instability. Its core questions address how kinetic and hybrid threats emerge, how deterrence fails or holds, and how localized conflicts generate broader regional and international consequences.

Scope and Analytical Focus

The group analyzes conventional and irregular conflicts, proxy warfare, militia and paramilitary dynamics, cross-border spillover risks, and interaction between military operations and political decision-making. Emphasis is placed on escalation pathways, miscalculation risks, and early-warning indicators.

Time Horizon

Near-term, with a primary focus on 0–12 months.

Typical Outputs

  • Situational conflict assessments
  • Escalation and early-warning analyses
  • Regional stability briefs
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