Asia-Pacific

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U.S.-China Nuclear Competition Beneath the South China Sea

Key Points : $3.4 trillion in annual trade depends on sustained South China Sea deterrence. China's Bastion doctrine extends nuclear deterrence from protected coastal waters. AUKUS enables persistent allied submarine operations near contested maritime chokepoints. AUKUS-Plus strengthens allied undersea cooperation and intensifies pressure on China. China favors strategic competition over military confrontation...
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Measuring Strategic Rupture: NSS-2025 and the Rewiring of US Grand Strategy

Key Points: • NSS-2025 represents a structural break in US grand strategy, not an incremental adjustment.• Measurement across 17 strategic...

China’s Semiconductor “Manhattan Project”: Breaking the EUV Monopoly

Key Points: • Monopoly Disrupted: China tested a prototype EUV machine, challenging ASML’s long-standing global monopoly.• Scale: A secret, state-funded...

How NSS-2025 Resets the Transatlantic Security Equation

Key Points: • NSS-2025 replaces order-driven US strategy with an interest-based framework.• NATO’s burden structure shifts with rising expectations for...
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