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Strategic Insight for Defense & Security

Independent analysis and strategic foresight at the intersection of defense, security, and emerging global risks.

LNG Terminals as Europe’s Most Vulnerable Strategic Nodes

- Listen to Analysis Key Points Europe replaced one gas dependency with a new coastal one.  LNG terminals now act as strategic chokepoints in Europe’s energy system.  Their vulnerability extends beyond the terminal to maritime, digital and grid-linked networks.  Pressure can range from soft kill disruption to hard kill damage.  Europe’s...
Mehmet Sümer -

Regional Conflict & Stability

Before Storming Kharg Island, Washington Should Read the Gallipoli Campaign

- Listen to Analysis A century ago, in March 1915, the world’s greatest naval power launched a bold amphibious assault...
Mustafa Kirisci -

Decapitation Is Not Defeat: Why Striking Iran’s Leadership May Unleash a Harder War

Key Points: Destroying Iran’s leadership hierarchy does not destroy its cause. History, from Vietnam to Iraq to Libya, shows that...
Mustafa Kirisci -

When Protest Loses Visibility: Iran’s Use of Uncertainty as an Internal Security Tool

Key Points: Iran’s response to recent unrest is distinctive less for the scale of repression than for how uncertainty has...
Tuana Sevi -

Energy & Maritime Security

LNG Terminals as Europe’s Most Vulnerable Strategic Nodes

- Listen to Analysis Key Points Europe replaced one gas dependency with a new coastal one.  LNG terminals now act...
Mehmet Sümer -

Before Storming Kharg Island, Washington Should Read the Gallipoli Campaign

- Listen to Analysis A century ago, in March 1915, the world’s greatest naval power launched a bold...
Mustafa Kirisci -

Iran’s Hormuz Card: Mine Warfare and the Timeline of Control

Key Points: Even limited mining can effectively halt passage. Iran can make narrow channels risky within hours. The first safe...
Cengiz Karakaş -

Hybrid Threats, Cognitive Warfare & Information Operations

When Protest Loses Visibility: Iran’s Use of Uncertainty as an Internal Security Tool

Key Points: Iran’s response to recent unrest is distinctive less for the scale of repression than for how...
Tuana Sevi -

China’s Semiconductor “Manhattan Project”: Breaking the EUV Monopoly

Key Points: • Monopoly Disrupted: China tested a prototype EUV machine, challenging ASML’s long-standing global monopoly.• Scale: A...
Mustafa Kirisci -

Europe’s Defence Market Transformation: From Complacency to Strategic Rearmament

Key Points: • Structural Rearmament: EU defense spending increased 57% (€218B → €343B, 2021-2024), fastest growth since Cold War's...
Nurettin Sevi -

Defense Technology, Industry & Economic Security

Solving the European Naval Dilemma with Modular Mass

- Listen to Analysis Key points: • European navies are too small to win• Buying off-the-shelf unmanned vessels is...
Gökay Yayla -

U.S.-China Nuclear Competition Beneath the South China Sea

Key Points : Roughly $3.4 trillion in trade passes through the South China Sea annually, yet both the...
Şakir Oruç -

Swarm UUVs and the Weaponization of the Undersea Domain

Key Points: Swarm UUVs (unmanned undersea vehicles) expand sea denial and deterrence into the undersea realm through scalable,...
Abdurrahman Özmen -

Global Power Competition & Systemic Transitions

U.S.-China Nuclear Competition Beneath the South China Sea

Key Points : Roughly $3.4 trillion in trade passes through the South China Sea annually, yet both the...
Şakir Oruç -

NATO Is Not a Choice: Strategic Reality for Europe

Key Points: North Atlantic Treaty Organization is strategic infrastructure, not a political option. Its value derives from continuous...
Engin Büker -

Measuring Strategic Rupture: NSS-2025 and the Rewiring of US Grand Strategy

Key Points: • NSS-2025 represents a structural break in US grand strategy, not an incremental adjustment.• Measurement across...
Engin Büker -

Future Conflict, Climate & Humanity

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Future of Warfare

- Listen to Analysis Key Points: • AI is transforming warfare across tactical, operational, and strategic levels.• It is the first...
Dr. Murat Çalışkan -

Panel After-Assessment: Is Aligning the Green Deal with Global Crises and Strategic Imperatives Possible?

The European Defence & Security Summit 2024 recently facilitated a pivotal panel discussion on "War Economy for the EU:...
Engin Büker -

Why Polarization in the Military Is a Growing Concern for Democracies

The past few years have seen a wave of concern over how increasing political and social polarization is negatively...
Mustafa Kirisci -

Policy Papers

Munich Security Report 2026 : Under Destruction

The Munich Security Conference 2026 is taking place at a moment of profound uncertainty. Rarely in the conference’s recent...

National Security Strategy, November 2025

"Over the past nine months, we have brought our nation-and the world-back from the brink of catastrophe and disaster....
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