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Escalation Architecture From Black Sea to Red Sea

Key Points : Crisis theatres are becoming connected systems. Maritime routes now transmit escalation. Energy chokepoints bind distant theatres. Critical infrastructure expands the conflict surface. Türkiye sits across the escalation architecture. Summary+ The most important shift from the Black Sea to the Red Sea is not the emergence...
Engin Büker -
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Weekly Strategic Brief – 36

How can maritime drones navigate/survive in a jammed environment?

Key Points : Electronic warfare threatens the core functionality of maritime robotics by actively targeting maritime drones’  ability to navigate...
Gökay Yayla -

Who Sets Syria’s Security Limits?

Key Points : Israel struck Abu al-Duhur after talks on prospective Turkish deployments. In April 2025, Israel struck T4, Palmyra and...
Regional Conflict & Stability Research Group -

The Mecca Pact Connects Two Wars

Key Points : Türkiye is losing its strategic non-entry position. The pact links Gulf security to NATO. Israel is its main indirect...
Engin Büker -

Defence Innovation as Protection

Key Points: NATO’s central defense innovation challenge is conversion, not invention. Emerging and disruptive technology (EDT) adoption should be driven by...
Engin Büker -

The Northern Front After Iran

Key Points: Israeli security discourse should be analysed, not accepted. Lebanon may be theatre shaping before Iran. Hezbollah is the output of...
Engin Büker -

Manned-Unmanned Teaming: Why Nations Are Investing

Key Points : Pilot scarcity, force structure constraints, and China's public MUM-T demonstration are driving a procurement surge that is...
Nurettin Sevi -

The Third Player at the Table: Israel and the Two-Level Game in the US–Iran War

Key Points : Two-level game theory frames international negotiation as bargaining that happens simultaneously abroad and at home The US–Iran talks...
Mustafa Kirisci -

Submarine Cable Security: The Anatomy of Asymmetric Pressure in the Gulf Crisis

Key Points : Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and the Egypt-Suez corridor are dual energy-data chokepoints. In a crisis, repair access and attribution...
Cengiz Karakaş -

Germany’s Maritime Defense Test

Key Points : Germany’s defense credibility is likely to be tested through maritime resilience.  Germany’s ability to sustain allied movement could...
Mehmet Sümer -
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