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Who Sets Syria’s Security Limits?

Key Points : Israel struck Abu al-Duhur after talks on prospective Turkish deployments. In April 2025, Israel struck T4, Palmyra and Hama after Turkish evaluations. Türkiye seeks an integrated Syrian state aligned with its security priorities. The Mecca Pact’s operational and command structures remain under...
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Weekly Strategic Brief – 35

The Mecca Pact Connects Two Wars

Key Points : Türkiye is losing its strategic non-entry position. The pact links Gulf security to NATO. Israel is its main indirect...

Defence Innovation as Protection

Key Points: NATO’s central defense innovation challenge is conversion, not invention. Emerging and disruptive technology (EDT) adoption should be driven by...

The Northern Front After Iran

Key Points: Israeli security discourse should be analysed, not accepted. Lebanon may be theatre shaping before Iran. Hezbollah is the output of...

The Third Player at the Table: Israel and the Two-Level Game in the US–Iran War

Key Points : Two-level game theory frames international negotiation as bargaining that happens simultaneously abroad and at home The US–Iran talks...

Submarine Cable Security: The Anatomy of Asymmetric Pressure in the Gulf Crisis

Key Points : Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and the Egypt-Suez corridor are dual energy-data chokepoints. In a crisis, repair access and attribution...

Germany’s Maritime Defense Test

Key Points : Germany’s defense credibility is likely to be tested through maritime resilience.  Germany’s ability to sustain allied movement could...

The overall concept of military defence: Military Strategy and Plan for the Armed Forces

Responsibility for Europe. This document is the publicly accessible part of the first Bundeswehr Military Strategy and the resulting Plan...

LNG Terminals as Europe’s Most Vulnerable Strategic Nodes

Key Points : Europe replaced one gas dependency with a new coastal one.  LNG terminals now act as strategic chokepoints in...

Solving the European Naval Dilemma with Modular Mass

Key points : • European navies are too small to win• Buying off-the-shelf unmanned vessels is a dead end  • EUROGUARD...