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The Emotion of Wars

Key Points : Wars rarely end for strategic reasons alone. Fear, pride, anger, humiliation and hope keep them going. Russia-Ukraine and the U.S.-Iran conflict show two routes to the same trap. One is a grinding stalemate. The other is repeated diplomatic collapse. Leaders need...
Ahmet Kalkan -
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Weekly Strategic Brief – 38

Weekly Strategic Brief – 37

Weekly Strategic Brief – 36

Weekly Strategic Brief – 35

Escalation Architecture From Black Sea to Red Sea

Key Points : Crisis theatres are becoming connected systems. Maritime routes now transmit escalation. Energy chokepoints bind distant theatres. Critical infrastructure expands the...
Engin Büker -

Who Sets Syria’s Security Limits?

Key Points : Israel struck Abu al-Duhur after talks on prospective Turkish deployments. In April 2025, Israel struck T4, Palmyra and...
Regional Conflict & Stability Research Group -

The Mecca Pact Connects Two Wars

Key Points : Türkiye is losing its strategic non-entry position. The pact links Gulf security to NATO. Israel is its main indirect...
Engin Büker -

Defence Innovation as Protection

Key Points: NATO’s central defense innovation challenge is conversion, not invention. Emerging and disruptive technology (EDT) adoption should be driven by...
Engin Büker -

The Northern Front After Iran

Key Points: Israeli security discourse should be analysed, not accepted. Lebanon may be theatre shaping before Iran. Hezbollah is the output of...
Engin Büker -

The Third Player at the Table: Israel and the Two-Level Game in the US–Iran War

Key Points : Two-level game theory frames international negotiation as bargaining that happens simultaneously abroad and at home The US–Iran talks...
Mustafa Kirisci -

Submarine Cable Security: The Anatomy of Asymmetric Pressure in the Gulf Crisis

Key Points : Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and the Egypt-Suez corridor are dual energy-data chokepoints. In a crisis, repair access and attribution...
Cengiz Karakaş -

Germany’s Maritime Defense Test

Key Points : Germany’s defense credibility is likely to be tested through maritime resilience.  Germany’s ability to sustain allied movement could...
Mehmet Sümer -

The overall concept of military defence: Military Strategy and Plan for the Armed Forces

Responsibility for Europe. This document is the publicly accessible part of the first Bundeswehr Military Strategy and the resulting Plan...
Strategic Analysis Unit -
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